BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Afton East Union
Class: 8 Class Rank: 49 Conference: 8-7 Record: (7-19-0) Overall: (42-48-0) Overall Strength = 43.39
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/26/2011 Away L * * 43.26 8 56 8 2 ( 95- 18- 0) Tabor Fremont-Mills -0.39 -47.61
2 09/02/2011 Home W 49.86 58 32 ZZ 55 ( 10- 55- 0) Essex 6.21 19.79
3 09/09/2011 Away L 7.33 16 68 ZZ 28 ( 35- 20- 0) Adair-Casey -36.32 -15.68
4 09/16/2011 Home W 53.66 55 3 ZZ 63 ( 3- 34- 0) Ankeny Christian 10.01 41.99
5 09/23/2011 Away L 36.74 28 42 8 42 ( 58- 40- 0) Lamoni -6.91 -7.09
6 09/30/2011 Home L * * 24.65 22 58 8 23 ( 62- 35- 0) Lenox -19.00 -17.00
7 10/07/2011 Home L * * 22.06 6 50 8 18 ( 60- 40- 0) Anita CAM -21.59 -22.41
8 10/14/2011 Away L -18.93 0 62 8 51 ( 50- 51- 0) Murray -62.58 0.58
9 10/21/2011 Home L 14.01 22 30 8 64 ( 30- 51- 0) Mormon Trail -29.64 21.64
10 08/17/2012 Away L * * 28.22 20 56 8 23 ( 62- 35- 0) Lenox -15.43 -20.57
11 08/24/2012 Home W 50.33 50 28 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia 6.68 15.32
12 08/31/2012 Home L 13.76 20 62 ZZ 28 ( 35- 20- 0) Adair-Casey -29.89 -12.11
13 09/07/2012 Away L 14.30 30 50 8 58 ( 47- 50- 0) Bussey Twin Cedars -29.35 9.35
14 09/14/2012 Home L 10.55 28 58 8 50 ( 41- 56- 0) Colo-NESCO -33.10 3.10
15 09/21/2012 Away W 45.23 68 28 ZZ 63 ( 3- 34- 0) Ankeny Christian 1.58 38.42
16 09/28/2012 Away L 48.74 48 50 8 42 ( 58- 40- 0) Lamoni 5.09 -7.09
17 10/05/2012 Home W 60.01 50 12 8 64 ( 30- 51- 0) Mormon Trail 16.36 21.64
18 10/12/2012 Away L -10.93 22 76 8 51 ( 50- 51- 0) Murray -54.58 0.58
19 10/19/2012 Home L 1.33 0 24 ZZ 53 ( 19- 45- 0) Des Moines Grandview -42.32 18.32
20 08/23/2013 Home L * * 12.65 2 50 8 23 ( 62- 35- 0) Lenox -31.00 -17.00 ND
21 08/30/2013 Away W 73.90 48 6 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia 30.25 11.75 ND
22 09/06/2013 Away L 15.33 24 68 ZZ 28 ( 35- 20- 0) Adair-Casey -28.32 -15.68
23 09/13/2013 Home L 4.73 36 62 8 58 ( 47- 50- 0) Bussey Twin Cedars -38.92 12.92 ND
24 09/20/2013 Away L 34.12 20 30 8 50 ( 41- 56- 0) Colo-NESCO -9.53 -0.47
25 09/27/2013 Home W 29.66 48 20 ZZ 63 ( 3- 34- 0) Ankeny Christian -13.99 41.99
26 10/04/2013 Home L -2.83 12 62 8 42 ( 58- 40- 0) Lamoni -46.48 -3.52
27 10/11/2013 Away L 7.58 12 30 8 64 ( 30- 51- 0) Mormon Trail -36.07 18.07
28 10/18/2013 Home L -14.50 6 60 8 51 ( 50- 51- 0) Murray -58.15 4.15
29 10/25/2013 Away W 33.90 46 41 ZZ 53 ( 19- 45- 0) Des Moines Grandview -9.74 14.74
30 08/29/2014 Home L * * 56.65 32 36 8 23 ( 62- 35- 0) Lenox 13.00 -17.00
31 09/05/2014 Away W 81.43 64 10 ZZ 55 ( 10- 55- 0) Essex 37.78 16.22
32 09/12/2014 Home W 76.50 60 23 8 51 ( 50- 51- 0) Murray 32.85 4.15
33 09/19/2014 Away L 14.03 6 64 8 14 ( 66- 36- 0) Glidden-Ralston -29.62 -28.38
34 09/26/2014 Home W 36.66 68 33 ZZ 63 ( 3- 34- 0) Ankeny Christian -6.99 41.99
35 10/03/2014 Away W 72.16 34 14 ZZ 33 ( 19- 20- 0) Blairsburg Northeast 28.51 -8.51
36 10/10/2014 Away L 48.13 20 24 ZZ 34 ( 19- 28- 0) Guthrie Center 4.48 -8.48
37 10/17/2014 Home W 87.76 80 48 ZZ 28 ( 35- 20- 0) Adair-Casey 44.11 -12.11
38 10/24/2014 Away L 32.60 8 48 8 13 ( 64- 35- 0) Coon Rapids-Bayard -11.05 -28.95
39 10/29/2014 Away L * * 58.26 20 53 8 2 ( 95- 18- 0) Tabor Fremont-Mills 14.61 -47.61
40 08/28/2015 Home L * * 22.65 18 56 8 23 ( 62- 35- 0) Lenox -21.00 -17.00 ND
41 09/04/2015 Home W 75.86 66 14 ZZ 55 ( 10- 55- 0) Essex 32.21 19.79 ND
42 09/11/2015 Away W 63.07 28 8 8 51 ( 50- 51- 0) Murray 19.42 0.58
43 09/18/2015 Home L 33.46 8 43 8 14 ( 66- 36- 0) Glidden-Ralston -10.19 -24.81
44 09/25/2015 Away W 34.90 48 42 1 ZZ 53 ( 19- 45- 0) Des Moines Grandview -8.74 14.74
45 10/02/2015 Away W 88.99 68 12 ZZ 49 ( 10- 31- 0) Charter Oak-Ute 45.34 10.66 ND
46 10/09/2015 Home W 102.55 66 12 ZZ 34 ( 19- 28- 0) Guthrie Center 58.91 -4.91
47 10/16/2015 Away W 124.33 71 6 ZZ 28 ( 35- 20- 0) Adair-Casey 80.68 -15.68
48 10/23/2015 Home L 68.03 26 27 1 8 13 ( 64- 35- 0) Coon Rapids-Bayard 24.38 -25.38
49 10/28/2015 Away L * * 61.26 12 42 8 2 ( 95- 18- 0) Tabor Fremont-Mills 17.61 -47.61
50 08/26/2016 Home W 73.86 50 0 ZZ 55 ( 10- 55- 0) Essex 30.21 19.79 ND
51 09/02/2016 Away W * * 80.87 26 18 8 12 ( 61- 38- 0) East Mills 37.22 -29.22 ND
52 09/09/2016 Home W 71.50 44 12 8 51 ( 50- 51- 0) Murray 27.85 4.15
53 09/16/2016 Away W 99.58 74 0 8 64 ( 30- 51- 0) Mormon Trail 55.93 18.07
54 09/23/2016 Away W * * 74.22 44 34 8 23 ( 62- 35- 0) Lenox 30.57 -20.57
55 09/30/2016 Home L 23.05 6 42 ZZ 24 ( 43- 35- 0) Stanton -20.60 -15.40
56 10/07/2016 Away W * * 81.19 38 20 8 24 ( 48- 44- 0) Bedford 37.54 -19.54
57 10/14/2016 Home W 77.17 44 14 8 42 ( 58- 40- 0) Lamoni 33.52 -3.52
58 10/21/2016 Away L 28.84 26 48 A 52 ( 51- 41- 0) Corydon Wayne -14.81 -7.19
59 08/25/2017 Away W 73.43 46 0 ZZ 55 ( 10- 55- 0) Essex 29.78 16.22 ND
60 09/01/2017 Home W * * 81.30 38 26 8 12 ( 61- 38- 0) East Mills 37.65 -25.65 ND
61 09/08/2017 Away W 103.07 60 0 8 51 ( 50- 51- 0) Murray 59.42 0.58
62 09/15/2017 Home L 25.14 50 72 8 43 ( 20- 17- 0) Baxter -18.51 -3.49 ND
63 09/22/2017 Home L * * 32.65 6 34 8 23 ( 62- 35- 0) Lenox -11.00 -17.00
64 09/29/2017 Away L 36.62 30 56 ZZ 24 ( 43- 35- 0) Stanton -7.03 -18.97
65 10/06/2017 Home L * * 39.62 8 28 8 24 ( 48- 44- 0) Bedford -4.03 -15.97
66 10/13/2017 Away W 56.74 28 22 1 8 42 ( 58- 40- 0) Lamoni 13.09 -7.09
67 10/20/2017 Home W 73.27 28 2 A 52 ( 51- 41- 0) Corydon Wayne 29.62 -3.62
68 08/24/2018 Away L * * 30.87 0 42 8 12 ( 61- 38- 0) East Mills -12.78 -29.22 ND
69 08/31/2018 Home W * * 69.18 28 12 8 34 ( 34- 56- 0) Griswold 25.53 -9.53 ND
70 09/07/2018 Home W 60.01 38 0 8 64 ( 30- 51- 0) Mormon Trail 16.36 21.64
71 09/14/2018 Away L * * 27.22 20 57 8 23 ( 62- 35- 0) Lenox -16.43 -20.57
72 09/21/2018 Away L -17.24 14 78 8 46 ( 40- 55- 0) Southeast Warren -60.88 -3.12
73 09/28/2018 Home W 95.50 74 18 8 51 ( 50- 51- 0) Murray 51.85 4.15
74 10/06/2018 Away L 36.74 34 48 8 42 ( 58- 40- 0) Lamoni -6.91 -7.09 was 10/05 now 10/06
75 10/12/2018 Away W 57.90 34 8 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia 14.25 11.75
76 10/19/2018 Home W 70.21 80 8 8 68 ( 5- 49- 0) Seymour SMU 26.57 45.43
77 08/30/2019 Away L * * 35.87 12 49 8 12 ( 61- 38- 0) East Mills -7.78 -29.22 ND
78 09/06/2019 Away W * * 84.75 54 26 8 34 ( 34- 56- 0) Griswold 41.10 -13.10 ND
79 09/13/2019 Away W 73.58 48 0 8 64 ( 30- 51- 0) Mormon Trail 29.93 18.07
80 09/20/2019 Home L * * 14.65 22 68 8 23 ( 62- 35- 0) Lenox -29.00 -17.00
81 09/27/2019 Home L 2.19 6 47 8 46 ( 40- 55- 0) Southeast Warren -41.46 0.46
82 10/04/2019 Away W 55.07 30 18 8 51 ( 50- 51- 0) Murray 11.42 0.58
83 10/11/2019 Home L 9.17 6 44 8 42 ( 58- 40- 0) Lamoni -34.48 -3.52
84 10/18/2019 Home W 33.33 18 13 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia -10.32 15.32
85 10/25/2019 Home W 18.21 54 34 8 68 ( 5- 49- 0) Seymour SMU -25.43 45.43
86 08/28/2020 Away L * * 12.30 20 68 8 30 ( 8- 9- 0) Stanton-Essex -31.35 -16.65 ND
87 09/04/2020 Home L * * -13.35 6 80 8 23 ( 62- 35- 0) Lenox -57.00 -17.00
88 09/11/2020 Away L * * -2.37 0 72 8 18 ( 60- 40- 0) Anita CAM -46.02 -25.98
89 09/25/2020 Away W * * 62.75 18 12 8 34 ( 34- 56- 0) Griswold 19.10 -13.10
90 10/02/2020 Home L * * 28.30 12 53 8 12 ( 61- 38- 0) East Mills -15.35 -25.65
Averages 43.39 32.0 35.2
Best game: 124.33 = 65 point win over Adair-Casey
Worst game: -18.93 = 62 point loss to Murray
Team stdev: 31.64