BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Afton East Union

Class: 8 Class Rank: 49 Conference: 8-7 Record: (7-19-0) Overall: (42-48-0) Overall Strength =   43.35

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    L *  43.13   8  56    8   4 ( 95- 18-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    -0.48    -47.52                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    W    49.82  58  32   ZZ  60 ( 10- 55-  0) Essex                   6.21     19.79                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    L     7.26  16  68   ZZ  38 ( 35- 20-  0) Adair-Casey           -36.35    -15.65                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    W    53.74  55   3   ZZ  69 (  2- 35-  0) Ankeny Christian       10.13     41.87                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    L    36.80  28  42    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                 -6.80     -7.20                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    L *  24.41  22  58    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                 -19.19    -16.81                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    L *  21.98   6  50    8  19 ( 60- 40-  0) Anita CAM             -21.63    -22.37                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    L   -18.97   0  62    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                -62.58      0.58                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    L    14.49  22  30    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail          -29.12     21.12                      
 10 08/17/2012 Away    L *  27.96  20  56    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                 -15.65    -20.35                      
 11 08/24/2012 Home    W    50.44  50  28    8  61 ( 44- 52-  0) Moravia                 6.83     15.17                      
 12 08/31/2012 Home    L    13.71  20  62   ZZ  38 ( 35- 20-  0) Adair-Casey           -29.89    -12.11                      
 13 09/07/2012 Away    L    14.38  30  50    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -29.23      9.23                      
 14 09/14/2012 Home    L    10.49  28  58    8  50 ( 41- 56-  0) Colo-NESCO            -33.11      3.11                      
 15 09/21/2012 Away    W    45.28  68  28   ZZ  69 (  2- 35-  0) Ankeny Christian        1.67     38.33                      
 16 09/28/2012 Away    L    48.80  48  50    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                  5.20     -7.20                      
 17 10/05/2012 Home    W    60.49  50  12    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail           16.88     21.12                      
 18 10/12/2012 Away    L   -10.97  22  76    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                -54.58      0.58                      
 19 10/19/2012 Home    L     1.34   0  24   ZZ  58 ( 19- 45-  0) Des Moines Grandview  -42.27     18.27                      
 20 08/23/2013 Home    L *  12.41   2  50    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                 -31.19    -16.81  ND                  
 21 08/30/2013 Away    W    73.98  48   6    8  61 ( 44- 52-  0) Moravia                30.38     11.62  ND                  
 22 09/06/2013 Away    L    15.26  24  68   ZZ  38 ( 35- 20-  0) Adair-Casey           -28.35    -15.65                      
 23 09/13/2013 Home    L     4.84  36  62    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -38.77     12.77  ND                  
 24 09/20/2013 Away    L    34.04  20  30    8  50 ( 41- 56-  0) Colo-NESCO             -9.57     -0.43                      
 25 09/27/2013 Home    W    29.74  48  20   ZZ  69 (  2- 35-  0) Ankeny Christian      -13.87     41.87                      
 26 10/04/2013 Home    L    -2.74  12  62    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                -46.35     -3.65                      
 27 10/11/2013 Away    L     8.03  12  30    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail          -35.58     17.58                      
 28 10/18/2013 Home    L   -14.51   6  60    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                -58.12      4.12                      
 29 10/25/2013 Away    W    33.88  46  41   ZZ  58 ( 19- 45-  0) Des Moines Grandview   -9.73     14.73                      
 30 08/29/2014 Home    L *  56.41  32  36    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                  12.81    -16.81                      
 31 09/05/2014 Away    W    81.36  64  10   ZZ  60 ( 10- 55-  0) Essex                  37.76     16.24                      
 32 09/12/2014 Home    W    76.49  60  23    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                 32.88      4.12                      
 33 09/19/2014 Away    L    13.91   6  64    8  15 ( 66- 36-  0) Glidden-Ralston       -29.70    -28.30                      
 34 09/26/2014 Home    W    36.74  68  33   ZZ  69 (  2- 35-  0) Ankeny Christian       -6.87     41.87                      
 35 10/03/2014 Away    W    72.06  34  14   ZZ  42 ( 19- 20-  0) Blairsburg Northeast   28.45     -8.45                      
 36 10/10/2014 Away    L    47.98  20  24   ZZ  43 ( 19- 28-  0) Guthrie Center          4.37     -8.37                      
 37 10/17/2014 Home    W    87.71  80  48   ZZ  38 ( 35- 20-  0) Adair-Casey            44.11    -12.11                      
 38 10/24/2014 Away    L    32.48   8  48    8  13 ( 64- 35-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    -11.13    -28.87                      
 39 10/29/2014 Away    L *  58.13  20  53    8   4 ( 95- 18-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    14.52    -47.52                      
 40 08/28/2015 Home    L *  22.41  18  56    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                 -21.19    -16.81  ND                  
 41 09/04/2015 Home    W    75.82  66  14   ZZ  60 ( 10- 55-  0) Essex                  32.21     19.79  ND                  
 42 09/11/2015 Away    W    63.03  28   8    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                 19.42      0.58                      
 43 09/18/2015 Home    L    33.37   8  43    8  15 ( 66- 36-  0) Glidden-Ralston       -10.24    -24.76                      
 44 09/25/2015 Away    W    34.88  48  42 1 ZZ  58 ( 19- 45-  0) Des Moines Grandview   -8.73     14.73                      
 45 10/02/2015 Away    W    88.87  68  12   ZZ  55 ( 10- 31-  0) Charter Oak-Ute        45.26     10.74  ND                  
 46 10/09/2015 Home    W   102.44  66  12   ZZ  43 ( 19- 28-  0) Guthrie Center         58.83     -4.83                      
 47 10/16/2015 Away    W   124.26  71   6   ZZ  38 ( 35- 20-  0) Adair-Casey            80.65    -15.65                      
 48 10/23/2015 Home    L    67.94  26  27 1  8  13 ( 64- 35-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard     24.33    -25.33                      
 49 10/28/2015 Away    L *  61.13  12  42    8   4 ( 95- 18-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    17.52    -47.52                      
 50 08/26/2016 Home    W    73.82  50   0   ZZ  60 ( 10- 55-  0) Essex                  30.21     19.79  ND                  
 51 09/02/2016 Away    W *  80.74  26  18    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills             37.14    -29.14  ND                  
 52 09/09/2016 Home    W    71.49  44  12    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                 27.88      4.12                      
 53 09/16/2016 Away    W   100.03  74   0    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail           56.42     17.58                      
 54 09/23/2016 Away    W *  73.96  44  34    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                  30.35    -20.35                      
 55 09/30/2016 Home    L    22.95   6  42   ZZ  36 ( 43- 35-  0) Stanton               -20.65    -15.35                      
 56 10/07/2016 Away    W *  81.04  38  20    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                37.43    -19.43                      
 57 10/14/2016 Home    W    77.26  44  14    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                 33.65     -3.65                      
 58 10/21/2016 Away    L    28.24  26  48    A  53 ( 51- 41-  0) Corydon Wayne         -15.37     -6.63                      
 59 08/25/2017 Away    W    73.36  46   0   ZZ  60 ( 10- 55-  0) Essex                  29.76     16.24  ND                  
 60 09/01/2017 Home    W *  81.20  38  26    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills             37.59    -25.59  ND                  
 61 09/08/2017 Away    W   103.03  60   0    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                 59.42      0.58                      
 62 09/15/2017 Home    L    25.07  50  72    8  43 ( 20- 17-  0) Baxter                -18.54     -3.46  ND                  
 63 09/22/2017 Home    L *  32.41   6  34    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                 -11.19    -16.81                      
 64 09/29/2017 Away    L    36.50  30  56   ZZ  36 ( 43- 35-  0) Stanton                -7.11    -18.89                      
 65 10/06/2017 Home    L *  39.50   8  28    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                -4.11    -15.89                      
 66 10/13/2017 Away    W    56.80  28  22 1  8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                 13.20     -7.20                      
 67 10/20/2017 Home    W    72.70  28   2    A  53 ( 51- 41-  0) Corydon Wayne          29.09     -3.09                      
 68 08/24/2018 Away    L *  30.74   0  42    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills            -12.86    -29.14  ND                  
 69 08/31/2018 Home    W *  69.04  28  12    8  34 ( 34- 56-  0) Griswold               25.44     -9.44  ND                  
 70 09/07/2018 Home    W    60.49  38   0    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail           16.88     21.12                      
 71 09/14/2018 Away    L *  26.96  20  57    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                 -16.65    -20.35                      
 72 09/21/2018 Away    L   -17.34  14  78    8  46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren      -60.95     -3.05                      
 73 09/28/2018 Home    W    95.49  74  18    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                 51.88      4.12                      
 74 10/06/2018 Away    L    36.80  34  48    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                 -6.80     -7.20  was 10/05 now 10/06 
 75 10/12/2018 Away    W    57.98  34   8    8  61 ( 44- 52-  0) Moravia                14.38     11.62                      
 76 10/19/2018 Home    W    70.23  80   8    8  67 (  5- 49-  0) Seymour SMU            26.62     45.38                      
 77 08/30/2019 Away    L *  35.74  12  49    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills             -7.86    -29.14  ND                  
 78 09/06/2019 Away    W *  84.59  54  26    8  34 ( 34- 56-  0) Griswold               40.98    -12.98  ND                  
 79 09/13/2019 Away    W    74.03  48   0    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail           30.42     17.58                      
 80 09/20/2019 Home    L *  14.41  22  68    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                 -29.19    -16.81                      
 81 09/27/2019 Home    L     2.12   6  47    8  46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren      -41.49      0.49                      
 82 10/04/2019 Away    W    55.03  30  18    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                 11.42      0.58                      
 83 10/11/2019 Home    L     9.26   6  44    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                -34.35     -3.65                      
 84 10/18/2019 Home    W    33.44  18  13    8  61 ( 44- 52-  0) Moravia               -10.17     15.17                      
 85 10/25/2019 Home    W    18.23  54  34    8  67 (  5- 49-  0) Seymour SMU           -25.38     45.38                      
 86 08/28/2020 Away    L *  12.19  20  68    8  30 (  8-  9-  0) Stanton-Essex         -31.42    -16.58  ND                  
 87 09/04/2020 Home    L * -13.59   6  80    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                 -57.19    -16.81                      
 88 09/11/2020 Away    L *  -2.48   0  72    8  19 ( 60- 40-  0) Anita CAM             -46.09    -25.91                      
 89 09/25/2020 Away    W *  62.59  18  12    8  34 ( 34- 56-  0) Griswold               18.98    -12.98                      
 90 10/02/2020 Home    L *  28.20  12  53    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills            -15.41    -25.59                      
      Averages              43.35  32.0 35.2

Best game:  124.26 = 65 point win over Adair-Casey
Worst game: -18.97 = 62 point loss to Murray
Team stdev:  31.65